Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 161.347298 191.388664 228.428042 278.524466 346.286578 4.376133e+02 575.499145
2024-12-15 123.033341 157.595615 205.681041 281.109678 404.431303 6.163519e+02 1064.452693
2024-12-22 99.574146 132.999136 182.778299 268.180670 426.422495 7.521994e+02 1682.352183
2024-12-29 89.719982 124.506497 179.719816 283.179435 502.007354 1.059465e+03 3517.712142
2025-01-05 78.259108 111.049086 165.100444 272.066285 518.889260 1.253141e+03 6081.878649
2025-01-12 71.452558 103.694532 158.940499 274.761980 569.166724 1.627591e+03 14975.974340
2025-01-19 64.930283 95.765928 150.115376 269.098787 595.472959 1.978380e+03 42659.082036
2025-01-26 63.251846 95.731699 155.658879 296.714888 739.595139 3.359915e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 63.189357 98.452854 167.015984 343.038246 1002.222338 7.792304e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 58.989436 93.013905 160.632809 340.880863 1073.529024 1.155866e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 55.954091 89.400516 157.514571 347.039954 1196.919973 2.106958e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 53.328353 86.266924 154.916757 354.045696 1341.514627 4.712812e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 50.115167 82.068488 150.221860 356.502103 1497.254619 1.747749e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 47.186318 78.187689 145.810251 359.321965 1684.259118 7.297476e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 43.569991 72.528898 136.256628 340.905853 1673.642155 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 42.221231 71.368216 137.435773 362.246351 2107.125098 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 39.423330 66.897968 129.647262 346.414829 2112.792455 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 37.706253 64.555717 126.953844 350.245212 2399.766279 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 35.709572 61.438325 121.812985 342.205550 2513.421188 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 35.512676 62.182609 126.989944 381.671804 3731.324834 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 35.918635 64.298877 136.413499 449.314008 7076.060962 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 34.390049 61.877597 132.457253 446.124622 8057.997160 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 33.268954 60.302791 130.777012 455.239934 10272.157531 NaN NaN